Clients
self-initiated
Tags
Sector -
Agrifood
Materials
Reports
Team
Jo Goossens
Philippe Vandenbroeck

Scenarios for an emerging biomass regime

Challenge


In 2007, when the production of biofuels was just gathering momentum, shiftN and Giract joined forces to initiate a collaborative foresight project. The aim of the project was to bring a variety of stakeholders together to develop future scenarios around long-term developments in demand and supply of agri-industrial raw materials over the next 20 years.

This question arose against the background of two key developments: on the one hand there had been a rapid and significant increase of agricultural commodity prices heralding what later would emerge as a worldwide ‘food crisis’. The other very significant development was the rapid emergence of bio-energy policies to bolster energy security and reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.


Contribution


This ambitious undertaking was financially supported by three agrifood companies who recognised in these developments a potentially vital factor in their supply security. The project also received a grant from the UN Foundation. The process has been designed, facilitated and documented by the combined efforts shiftN and Giract. Dr. André Faaij from Copernicus Institute (Utrecht University). A mixed group of 24 stakeholders from industry, civil society (FAO, IISD, WWF, UNCTAD, IFAP, Ethical Sugar) and academia was brought together to engage in a disciplined learning and thinking process between October 2007 and March 2008. Three interactive workshops resulted in a set of four future scenarios that have since been widely disseminated and discussed.


Impact


Fields for Food of Fuel 2025 was a successful example of an ambitious foresight project that has been conceptualised, initiated and implemented by shiftN, in collaboration with trusted partner Giract. Other projects initiated by shiftN have been Nutrition & Health 2020 and a Nutrition & Health Open Innovation Lab (in collaboration with Philips Design).